基于智能体建模的新冠肺炎疫情传播问题研究

项凤涛; 苏炯铭; 谷学强; 张万鹏

doi:10.11959/j.issn.2096-6652.202308

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基于智能体建模的新冠肺炎疫情传播问题研究

学术论文 | 更新时间：2024-06-05

- 基于智能体建模的新冠肺炎疫情传播问题研究
- Research on the spread and countermeasures of COVID-19 using agent-based modeling
- 智能科学与技术学报 2023年5卷第1期页码：51-57
- 作者机构：
- 作者简介：
  
  [ "项凤涛（1986- ），男，博士，国防科技大学智能科学学院副教授，主要研究方向为智能辅助决策、不确定性推理、模式识别、机器学习" ]
  [ "苏炯铭（1984- ），男，博士，国防科技大学智能科学学院副研究员，主要研究方向为可解释人工智能、智能博弈" ]
  [ "谷学强（1983- ），男，博士，国防科技大学智能科学学院副研究员，主要研究方向为智能规划与决策、智能控制" ]
  [ "张万鹏（1981- ），男，博士，国防科技大学智能科学学院研究员，主要研究方向为智能决策、任务规划、自动化和控制、人机协同" ]
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金资助项目;The National Natural Science Foundation of China(61603403);国家自然科学基金资助项目;The National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1734208);湖南省自然科学基金项目(2021JJ40693)
- DOI：10.11959/j.issn.2096-6652.202308
  中图分类号： TP391.9
- 网络出版日期：2023-03，
  
  纸质出版日期：2023-03-15
- 稿件说明：
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项凤涛, 苏炯铭, 谷学强, 等. 基于智能体建模的新冠肺炎疫情传播问题研究[J]. 智能科学与技术学报, 2023,5(1):51-57.

Fengtao XIANG, Jiongming SU, Xueqiang Gu, et al. Research on the spread and countermeasures of COVID-19 using agent-based modeling[J]. Chinese journal of intelligent science and technology, 2023, 5(1): 51-57.
项凤涛, 苏炯铭, 谷学强, 等. 基于智能体建模的新冠肺炎疫情传播问题研究[J]. 智能科学与技术学报, 2023,5(1):51-57. DOI： 10.11959/j.issn.2096-6652.202308.

Fengtao XIANG, Jiongming SU, Xueqiang Gu, et al. Research on the spread and countermeasures of COVID-19 using agent-based modeling[J]. Chinese journal of intelligent science and technology, 2023, 5(1): 51-57. DOI： 10.11959/j.issn.2096-6652.202308.

摘要

针对新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）疫情传播及防控相关问题，基于智能体建模思想对 COVID-19 疫情进行研究。首先基于COVID-19传播机理在NetLogo平台建立数学模型，模拟疫情传播的真实过程；其次分析评估不同因素（如疫情防控措施，人群走动方式，COVID-19 潜伏期、治愈期和死亡率等）对疫情传播的影响，以了解影响疫情态势的核心因素；进而分析和总结疫情传播的内在规律。

Abstract

Aiming at the problems related to the spread and prevention and control of COVID-19

the COVID-19 epidemic was studied based on agent based modeling thought.Firstly

based on the COVID-19 transmission mechanism

a mathematical model was established on the NetLogo platform to simulate the real process of epidemic spread.Secondly

the impacts of different factors (such as epidemic prevention and control measures

population migration patterns

COVID-19 incubation period

cure period and mortality) were analyzed and evaluated on the spread of the epidemic

so as to understand the core factors affecting the epidemic situation.Then

the internal law of the epidemic spread was analyzed and summarized.

关键词

Keywords

references

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基于ACP方法的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情管控措施效果评估